St. Petersburg, May 22 - Neftegaz.RU. Key oil ministers and company executives will gather in Russia later this week for the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, and expectations are that the business meeting will provide the venue for some talks and comments about the OPEC-Russia production cut deal and the sanctions on Russia.
Attendees will include Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister Khalid al-Falih, OPEC Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo, and the UAE’s Energy Minister and current OPEC president Suhail al-Mazrouei. They are expected to discuss the current oil market conditions and the recent rise in oil prices, according to Platts.
The St. Petersburg forum comes just a month before the OPEC summit in Vienna in June, at which the countries participating in the global production cut deal are expected to review the state of the oil market and possibly adopt new metrics to measure the agreement’s success. By the current metric - the 5-year average of OECD commercial stocks - the glut is gone, according to both OPEC and the International Energy Agency (IEA).
The forum also comes amid geopolitical concerns that have lately pushed oil prices to 3,5 year highs - Venezuela’s plunging oil production and the possible reduction of Iranian oil exports after the U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal. Saudi Arabia has signaled that it was ready to «coordinate global action to ease oil market anxiety.»
But the hosts of this week’s forum, Russia, may not be too keen to let oil prices run too high, Christian Boermel, senior analyst, Russia upstream at Wood Mackenzie, told Platts. For 2 consecutive months, in March and April, Russia exceeded its quota under the OPEC/non-OPEC deal - a move that some analysts interpret as Russian companies getting tired of capping production, despite assurances from Moscow that it is sticking to the pact.
Among the industry executives expected to attend the Russian forum this week will be the CEOs of the biggest European firms - Total’s Patrick Pouyanne, Shell’s Ben van Beurden, and BP’s Bob Dudley. All 3 companies have presence and interests in Russian projects and operations.