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Korean Government Expects Oil Drop

Energy Ministry predicts current situation unlikely to continue for long...

Korean Government Expects Oil Drop

The South Korean government predicts that international crude oil prices, currently at a 10-month high, would fall from February.

"The price of Dubai crude is expected to drop to the range of between US$26 per barrel and $27 per barrel from the current $29 per barrel," the Ministry of Commerce, Industry and Energy said.

Oil prices are at their current levels because of increased buying by speculators, a wintertime rise in demand, the weakness of the dollar, and the delayed recovery of Iraq's oil exports, the ministry said.

The ministry expects the drop will come from a fall in U.S. demand for crude oil and a rise in oil stockpiles.

Major U.S. oil refineries are expected to begin their annual repairs from next month, leading to a fall in global oil demand.

It further forecast international crude oil prices will range from $22 per barrel to $23 per barrel during the April-June period.

Thereafter, prices are likely to rise to a band of between $23 per barrel and $25 per barrel due to the recovery of the global economy and strong buying ahead of a rise in winter demand, the ministry said.



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